Conservatives hung by only 16000 votes

David Smith & ,}

DAVID CAMERON was deprived of a Commons infancy by unwell to secure the votes of only 16,000 people, according to an consultant research of choosing results.

The commentary by Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher exhibit that the Tories came tantalisingly close to securing a purify feat at the polls.

Cameron came so nearby and nonetheless so far, write the directors of the elections centre at Plymouth University. Just 16,000 additional votes for the Tories, distributed in the nineteen constituencies in that the celebration came closest to winning, would have spared us a week end of traffic and speculation.

The Tories unsuccessful to win majorities in about thirty Labour-held extrinsic constituencies they had approaching to win, suggesting that in a little seats the additional supports of Lord Ashcroft, the billionaire celebration donor, were less in effect than hoped.

The smallest Labour majority, only 42 votes, was cumulative by Glenda Jackson, the former actress, in the Hampstead and Kilburn subdivision in north London.

In multiform others, the Tories unsuccessful by a small series of votes, descending short by 92 in Bolton West, Ruth Kellys former seat. Ed Balls, the schools secretary, scraped home with a infancy of 1,101 in his West Yorkshire seat.

The Rallings and Thrasher research shows the Tories finished up with 36% of the opinion in the UK, followed by Labour on 29% and the Liberal Democrats on 23%.

With audience in the choosing up from 61% in 2005 to 65%, the Tory share of the complete electorate, 24%, was higher than the 22% who voted for Labour in 2005.

Had the positions of the parties been reversed, and Labour cumulative 36% of the vote, Gordon Brown would have been returned with a infancy of 64.

The research additionally suggests that a comparatively small pull would give the Tories a infancy if a second choosing is hold in the nearby future.

A pitch of 1.8% from Labour would give the celebration an altogether parliamentary majority, whilst a pitch of 2.5% would put Cameron twenty seats forward of all alternative parties in the Commons.

Another reason since Cameron unsuccessful to win undisguised feat was since the Lib Dem pitch to the Tories was only 1%.